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Writer's pictureFahad H

King Salman and the Seven Dwarfs

While Western media boasted about Lady Liberty Michelle Obama showing unveiled in Saudi Arabia, Eastern activists toasted the Saudi King’s uncommon exit within the midst of the Obamas’ welcome ceremony. It all occurred because the U.S. president minimize quick his go to to India and dashed to Saudi Arabia with a high-profile delegation to supply their condolences on the dying of King Abdullah. King Salman, now heading the nation with the world’s highest oil reserves, drew a whole lot of consideration final week as analysts around the globe tried to look at his affect on the ailing oil costs. We’d quite deal with this distinguished Obama deputation as a result of we expect there may be much more into it than simply paying tribute to the late Saudi King.

In different phrases, when the chief of the world’s largest oil consuming nation rushes to the world’s largest exporter and reaches there earlier than even the closest regional allies, he have to be attempting to say one thing “really” necessary. Let alone that Obama did not trouble to attend the solidarity rally in Paris 10 days earlier. The truth is that in 2011, the U.S. launched into a wild journey to extend its oil manufacturing to unprecedented ranges. Why? Because Americans eat near 19 million barrels of oil per day, of which they solely produce 11 million, whereas the remainder is imported, primarily from Canada, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Mexico; on this explicit order. A short evaluation of U.S. oil imports up to now decade, reveals that the nation was growing its oil imports from Canada on the expense of all different exporters. Venezuela and Mexico particularly have been heavy losers, but additionally Saudi Arabia!

Now beginning 2011, the U.S., which ranked second because the world’s largest oil producer behind Saudi Arabia, elevated its manufacturing due to an explosion in its shale oil business, i.e. oil extracted from Bituminous shale. As a outcome, U.S. oil manufacturing, which was just under 11 million barrels a day in 2010, jumped to 12 million barrels by December 2012. This merely meant that the U.S. surpassed Saudi Arabia and formally grew to become the world’s largest oil producer with a 13% market share, whereas Saudi Arabia dropped to second spot. By this time, oil analysts have been already considering an oil impartial USA, with some projecting the date as early as 2020, whereas others have been overtly calling on Congress to loosen export restrictions so the US might begin exporting oil.

This manufacturing hole between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia saved widening till it reached its peak in June 2014! Now wait a minute, this is identical month when oil hit a yr High at $107.68 per barrel, then crashed all the way in which all the way down to $53 by the tip of the yr! It can be the identical month U.S. oil manufacturing began slowing from a mean development charge of 1.8% per 30 days to a mere 0.34% in the course of the third quarter of the yr. Then in the course of the November 2014 OPEC assembly, Saudi Arabia refused to scale back provide to rescue oil costs, in what gave the impression to be a Saudi-American political choice aimed toward hurting the Russian financial system, which closely depends on oil exports. Putin took the shock, accepted the choice, and as a substitute began promoting his oil in opposition to what he considered underpriced gold. Meanwhile, let’s have a look at what occurred within the U.S.

Last month, BP, Schlumberger, ConocoPhillips, Apache Corporation, Baker Hughes and Halliburton, all six oil corporations introduced layoffs. And what was their purpose? Low oil costs! We will not brag about predicting it right here over six weeks in the past, we would quite confront all these analysts in Washington, who insist that the power sector contributes just one% to the U.S. GDP and therefore, low oil costs are good for the American financial system. It’s undoubtedly true that American residents are actually paying $2.04 per gallon as a substitute of $3.29 a yr in the past, nevertheless it’s additionally true that a part of this $1.25 distinction supported different industries!

Oil is the blood of the financial system and can stay so till a substitute is discovered. Or in any other case, somebody please clarify to me why did US Steel announce layoffs final week?! The firm itself disclosed that the choice was primarily attributable to decrease demand from oil and gasoline corporations. Why is eBay reducing 2,400 jobs? And why is American Express shedding 6% of its work drive throughout 2015? Lower oil costs might undoubtedly entice customers to spend extra, however this alone can’t rescue the financial system, and it undoubtedly can’t forestall additional layoffs in different power corporations earlier than the small ones get fully out of enterprise! So that is precisely why decrease oil costs have been pleasurable to the Saudis, however have you learnt who was behind this worth battle coverage?! It was King Salman himself – who has been unofficially operating the nation for nearly a yr now attributable to late King Abdullah’s well being issues – collectively together with his buddy Ali al-Naimi, who saved his place as Oil Minister.

The Americans have been nice with the Saudi oil coverage for so long as it was punishing Russia and different oil producing international locations around the globe, however as the hearth reached their very own shale business and will effectively unfold throughout their financial system, Obama wanted to behave. Now you recognize who King Salman is and why Obama raced to Riyadh first, however I’ll depart it to your creativeness to seek out out who the seven dwarfs are (smile).

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