2-15-19 Mid-day updates 500 index had risen the earlier 4 buying and selling days.
SP 500 Index is stepping into the overbought ranges on the day by day charts we’re promoting into the rally the January 2019 has the bull run due to this fact we’re 45 days into this rally
Earnings scorecard replace: S&P 500 earnings are anticipated to fall 2.5% within the first quarter regardless of mid-single digit gross sales development (276.82 +2.44) We nonetheless have two extra comparatively busy weeks of the elongated fourth quarter earnings season, however by means of this morning, 79% of the S&P 500 has reported quarterly outcomes. According to FreeOptionTrader, fourth quarter earnings per share at the moment are anticipated to develop 13% with gross sales up 7%. Earnings have been anticipated to develop 10.6% year-over-year with income up 5.6% simply over one month in the past heading into the reporting season. Growth of 13% comes on prime of 15% development final yr, making this the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings development. Just over 67% of the S&P 500 has beat earnings estimates whereas 23% have missed. Hope has sprung everlasting to date this yr because the market has appreciated whereas 60% of corporations have traded greater in response to earnings. Third quarter earnings season noticed 77% beat earnings estimates however solely 50% commerce greater in response because the market corrected. FactSet notes that fourth earnings development is coming in at twice the speed (16% vs. 8%) for corporations who see greater than 50% of gross sales inside the United States. The stronger greenback, slower financial development in China, Europe and rising markets and commerce tensions are all weighing on earnings development for corporations with extra worldwide publicity. That brings us to the primary quarter of 2019, the place earnings expectations for the primary quarter have come down dramatically. First quarter EPS is now anticipated to fall 2.5% with gross sales up 5.5%. Keep in thoughts the year-over-year tax minimize profit goes away beginning within the first quarter. Earnings have been anticipated to develop 2% with gross sales up 6% one month in the past.
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